Cyber Competition Indo-Pacific Gray Zone
This report is the result of collaborative research between the Global Disinformation Lab at The University of Texas at Austin and the Army Cyber Institute at West Point. In October 2023, a cross-functional group of practitioners convened in Austin, Texas to answer the following primary research question: How should the U.S. and Indo-Pacific allies and partners organize and coordinate their defensive cyber efforts to prevail in the next decade of competition with China? Utilizing the Threatcasting method of inquiry, these practitioners developed twenty-five scenarios on the topic by simulating people in places experiencing threats that could emerge in the next decade. A team of analysts then analyzed these scenarios and incorporated additional relevant research on the region to produce indicators of how these threats might emerge. This report discusses major findings, indicators, trends, and recommendations for practitioners to put into action to disrupt, mitigate, or recover from the threats.